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Suppose that the number of typing errors per page has a Poisson distribution with an average of 4 typing errors. What is the probability that on a given page the number of typing errors will be at least 2?

Suppose that the number of
typing errors per page has a Poisson distribution with an average of 4 typing errors.
What is the probability that on a given page the number of typing errors will be at least 2?





Solution:

The probability that on a given page the number of typing errors will be at least 2 can be found by subtracting the probability of 0 or 1 error from 1. Using the Poisson probability mass function, we can find the probability of 0 errors and the probability of 1 error, and then subtract that from 1 to find the probability of at least 2 errors.

The Poisson probability mass function for x errors is:

P(x)=λx⋅e-λx!

where λ is the average number of errors (4 in this case) and x is the number of errors.

So, the probability of 0 errors is:

P(0)=40â‹…e-40!=e-4=0.018

And the probability of 1 error is:

P(1)=41â‹…e-41!=4e-4=0.072

To find the probability of at least 2 errors, we subtract the probability of 0 errors and 1 error from 1:

P(≥2)=1-P(0)-P(1)=1-0.018-0.072=0.91

So the probability of at least 2 errors on a given page is 0.91 or 91%.











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